Wednesday, March 22, 2006

New Poll Out Says It Is Hillary Vs. Al Gore!

That's right, there is a new poll out tonight and it's been released by Fox. So, hold on to your wallets folks. Fox would love to have a race between Al Gore and Hillary. They'd love that! Why? Because they'd be able to spin the election just the way they want to.

In this poll, which has a 5% possibility of error says that Hillary Clinton is way out front of the pack. She is first and the former Vice President Al Gore is 2nd. We don't know how the polling people asked the question but my sense is it's in the ballpark. It may be close to the present condition; Hillary is ahead of Al.

My concern is two fold. One, Fox would love to develop false and negative paradigms about these two candidates. It also is the match up they'd love to see, man against woman, etc. etc. The other concern I have is that it isn't real. The first two caucuses in Iowa and Washington, DC aren't until January of 2008. Lots can happen between now and then.

I am concerned people are jumping on the Hillary bandwagon before they realize that the republicans believe she's the weakest of all the Democratic candidates. Oh, I'd vote for her and I have a tremendous amount of respect for her and the good things she's tried to do. But, here's the problem. Like a republican consultant told me on Capitol Hill recently, "she can get to 48% of the vote but she can't get beyond.” This is what Rove is hoping for; Hillary gets the nomination and then is not able to get above the base Democratic vote, and is not able to pull independent voters along to get her over 50%.

The Dems should be able to defeat any republican candidate after 8 years of this disastrous republican administration. Hillary probably could not do it. She will bring out the base of the other side. Her vote on the Iraq war will not help her.

It should be interesting. Go Al Gore!!

1 Comments:

At Tuesday, April 18, 2006 7:36:00 PM, Blogger kimmer said...

I couldn't agree with you more! The real problem here is that the DLC Dems and others can't quite see that Rove chrystal ball and never have-that's why they have always out smarted us and set the tone, pace and content of each election. Hillary can absolutely win the nomination but she would not win the election...aren't we a bit tired of that by now?
Gore is the only one who not only can win but once he's won he can deliver.

 

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