Monday, January 01, 2007

What would you say to President Gingirch?

The polls are starting to come out now about the 2008 election. I must say that I am not too surprised by what they say about the republican party and its direction.

One of the polls I saw was from ARG. They had produced results from the first 4 states which will have either primaries or caucuses. Polling results and the actual election results can vary depending on if the election is a primary type election or an Iowa caucus. I’ll bet that there will be some significant differences between actual caucus states, i.e. Nevada and Iowa. So hang on it could be a real roller coaster ride to the nomination.

My sense is a real outsider could make it this election. It might be the year of a Mitt Romney or Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee. There’s even talk of former Virginia Governor and US Senator George Allen running. This race is totally wide open.

Here’s what ARG says so far:

Iowa: Giuliani is first, McCain is second and Gingrich is third.

Nevada: Giuliani is first, McCain is second and Gingrich is third again.

South Carolina: McCain is first in this conservative state, Giuliani is now second and Gingrich third.

Finally, the all important New Hampshire has, McCain, Giuliani and Gingrich.

What this all tells me is there’s room for others to make a move. A more conservative candidate could push McCain and Gingrich aside, while a more moderate and flashier candidate could sweep away Giuliani. Nobody has a lock on this nomination. It will be exciting!

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